Anatomy of a Liberal Victory: Making Sense of the Vote in the 2000 Canadian Election
Published: May 2002© 2002
Imprint: University of Toronto Press
Page Count: 241 Pages
Dimensions: 6.00 x 9.00
241 Pages, 6.00 x 9.00 x 1.00 in
Anatomy of a Liberal Victory: Making Sense of the Vote in the 2000 Canadian Election provides a compressive account of the factors that led Canadians to vote the way they did in the Fall 2000 Canadian election, which resulted in a third consecutive Liberal majority government. The book explains the overall impact that these factors had on how well or poorly each of the parties did in the election. The authors address in particular the following questions: Why was turnout so low? What were Canadians’ perceptions of the economy and how much impact did these perceptions have on vote choice? What were voters' opinions on the major issues of the day and did these opinions affect their decision on election day? What did voters think of the leaders and how much weight did these evaluations have on their choice?
The study is based on mass surveys, involving more than 3,000 respondents, conducted both during the campaign and after the election. It also draws on a detailed content analysis of the parties’ messages and nightly news broadcasts throughout the campaign and its aftermath.
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- The Parties and their Messages
- The Media: Getting Out the Messages
- Why Was Turnout So Low?
- The Vote: Stability and Change
- A Multi-Stage Model of Vote Choice
- The Social Bases of Party Support
- Values and Beliefs
- Partisan Loyalties
- The Economy
- The Issues
- Liberal Performance
- The Leaders
- Strategic Voting
Appendix A: Multinomial Estimations of Vote Choice Outside Quebec
Appendix B: Multinomial Estimations of Vote Choice in Quebec
Appendix C: The Estimated Impact of Variables on the Propensity to Vote for the Parties Outside Quebec
Appendix D: The Estimated Impact of Variables on the Propensity to Vote for the Parties in Quebec
Appendix E: Description of Variables